
Probability Moon (The Probability Trilogy Book 1)
by Nancy Kress
4.1 stars from 192 reviews
Last checked: Jun 4, 2026
Good deal — this title is discounted today.
Price range: $1.99 – $14.99
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Fans of these authors will like this...
- C.J. Cherryh
- Lois McMaster Bujold
- Ann Leckie
Fans of these books will like this...
- The Expanse series
- Ancillary Justice
Perfect for you if...
- You enjoy space opera that treats alien contact as genuinely strange rather than just window dressing for human drama.
- You're drawn to stories where the stakes are survival and the solutions require understanding something truly alien about how other minds work.
- You appreciate books that layer a mystery (what's that artifact doing on the moon?) beneath character-driven storytelling rather than pure spectacle.
Maybe not for you if...
- You want faster pacing and simpler plotting: this is a thoughtful, ideas-heavy opener that builds slowly toward its payoffs.
- You prefer standalone novels: this is book one of a trilogy and it ends with threads deliberately left open.
- You're looking for action-heavy military sci-fi: the conflict here is psychological and conceptual, not battles and explosions.
About this book
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Price History
Kindle price over time. Green zones = periods when the book was free.
Currently on sale at $2.99 — 80% off peak. Price has dropped 6 times over the last 6 years. Goes on sale roughly every 197 days. Typically stays discounted for 10 days.
Sales Rank
Amazon sales rank: lower number = better selling book. #1 is the bestseller.
Currently around #24K in the Kindle store — a steady mid-list seller.
Rating & Reviews
Purple line = star rating over time. Blue area = total review count growth.
Currently 4.1★ from 192 reviews
Gaining approximately 2 new reviews per month. Rating has remained stable at 4.1 over the tracking period.
Sale Prediction
Actual Predicted
This book is currently discounted at $2.99. It typically returns to around $14.99.
Prices shown in USD from Amazon US. We continuously pull new data to improve tracking. If dates look old, it usually means there has been no significant change since the last data point.
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