How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

by Jordan Ellenberg

4.4 (5,054)

4.4 stars from 5,054 reviews. One of the highest rated Nonfiction books we track.

468 pages~7.8 hr readPublished by The Penguin PressPublished 2014-01-01

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Last checked: Jul 12, 2026

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Fans of these authors will like this...

  • Malcolm Gladwell
  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Steven Levitt

Fans of these books will like this...

  • Freakonomics
  • Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • The Black Swan

Perfect for you if...

  • You're curious about how the world actually works beneath the surface and tired of being bamboozled by bad statistics.
  • You loved Freakonomics or Thinking, Fast and Slow but want something that teaches you to spot logical flaws yourself.
  • You're allergic to maths textbooks but fascinated by real-world applications, from elections to lottery schemes to why tall parents have shorter kids.

Maybe not for you if...

  • You want rigorous proofs and formal mathematical notation; this book translates maths into English, not the other way round.
  • You're looking for a self-help book with easy answers; Ellenberg's point is that most easy answers are wrong.
  • You get queasy when books jump between topics; this one hopscotches from baseball to Renaissance painting to Reaganomics.

About this book

In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg demonstrates that mathematics is far more than abstract rules learned in school. Rather, mathematical thinking touches nearly everything we do and reveals hidden structures beneath the surface of everyday life. Ellenberg uses mathematics to answer practical questions: How early should you arrive at the airport? What does public opinion actually represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who won Florida in 2000? What is your real cancer risk? He explores these and other questions by applying mathematical analysis to real-world situations, drawing on examples from baseball, economics, lottery schemes, psychology, art history, geometry, and more. The book traces mathematical ideas through history and contemporary developments, connecting concepts ranging from Voltaire and Renaissance painting to Facebook algorithms and non-Euclidean geometry. Ellenberg presents mathematical insights without requiring specialized training, translating academic knowledge for general readers. He describes mathematics as a tool that extends common sense, allowing deeper understanding of the world around us.

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Price History

Kindle price over time. Green zones = periods when the book was free.

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Free$7.50$14.99Mar '20Aug '22Jan '24Jul '26
$1.99$14.99

Currently on sale at $1.99 — 87% off peak. Price has dropped 12 times over the last 6 years. Goes on sale roughly every 190 days.

Sales Rank

Amazon sales rank: lower number = better selling book. #1 is the bestseller.

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#8,450#89,444#170,437Apr '18May '22Feb '24May '26

Currently around #131K in the Kindle store — a niche title.

Rating & Reviews

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3.5★4.3★5.0★May '23Dec '23Aug '24May '26RatingReviews

Currently 4.4★ from 5,054 reviews

Gaining approximately 9 new reviews per month. Rating has remained stable at 4.4 over the tracking period.

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Free$7.50$14.99Mar '20Aug '22Jan '24Jul '26PredictedJul '26

Actual Predicted

This book is currently discounted at $1.99. It typically returns to around $14.99.

Prices shown in USD from Amazon US. We continuously pull new data to improve tracking. If dates look old, it usually means there has been no significant change since the last data point.

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Jordan Ellenberg

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