The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity

The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity

by Toby Ord

4.3 (1,114)

4.3 stars from 1,114 reviews. Top 89% of Nonfiction books we track.


$3.99KU73% off peak

Last checked: May 20, 2026

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Fans of these authors will like this...

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Fans of these books will like this...

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Perfect for you if...

  • You're concerned about humanity's future and want a rigorous, evidence-based assessment of existential risks rather than doomscrolling opinions.
  • You work in policy, technology, or global affairs and need to understand how nuclear weapons, AI, and engineered pathogens intersect with civilisational survival.
  • You find yourself asking big questions about progress, responsibility, and what we owe to future generations.

Maybe not for you if...

  • You prefer optimistic takes on humanity's prospects and find detailed risk analysis demoralising rather than motivating.
  • You're looking for a quick self-help fix or actionable personal productivity advice rather than long-term systemic thinking.
  • You want narrative-driven storytelling; this is dense philosophical argumentation backed by research, not memoir or reportage.

About this book

The Precipice examines existential risks to humanity and argues that protecting our future is the central challenge of our time. If humanity survives and flourishes, our species could exist for billions of years, ending disease, poverty, and injustice. However, this potential future faces serious threats. Since the development of nuclear weapons, humanity has confronted existential catastrophes—events from which recovery would be impossible. These dangers have expanded to include climate change, engineered pathogens, and artificial intelligence. Without swift action to reach safety, it may soon be too late. Drawing on over a decade of research, the book explores the science behind these risks and places them within humanity's broader history. It frames ending these risks as a pressing moral issue and outlines actions and strategies to safeguard humanity's future. Toby Ord, an Oxford philosopher who has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank, offers a reassessment of human history and the steps necessary to ensure humanity's survival.

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Price History

Kindle price over time. Green zones = periods when the book was free.

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Free$7.50$14.99Apr '20Nov '20Apr '22Nov '25
$2.99$14.99

Currently on sale at $3.99 — 73% off peak. Price has dropped 6 times over the last 6 years. Goes on sale roughly every 426 days.

Sales Rank

Amazon sales rank: lower number = better selling book. #1 is the bestseller.

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#2,240#1,430,123#2,858,005Oct '19Nov '22Sep '25May '26

Currently around #59K in the Kindle store — a steady mid-list seller.

Rating & Reviews

Purple line = star rating over time. Blue area = total review count growth.

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3.5★4.3★5.0★May '23Apr '24Dec '24Mar '26RatingReviews

Currently 4.3★ from 1,114 reviews

Gaining approximately 8 new reviews per month. Rating has remained stable at 4.3 over the tracking period.

Sale Prediction

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Free$7.50$14.99Apr '20Nov '20Apr '22Nov '25PredictedMay '26

Actual Predicted

This book is currently discounted at $3.99. It typically returns to around $14.99.

Prices shown in USD from Amazon US. We continuously pull new data to improve tracking. If dates look old, it usually means there has been no significant change since the last data point.

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Toby Ord

1 book on Vagrant Press

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