The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond

The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond

by George Friedman

4.5 (1,869)

4.5 stars from 1,869 reviews. Top 81% of Nonfiction books we track.

256 pages~4.3 hr readPublished by Schwartz Publishing Pty, LimitedPublished 2020-01-01

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Last checked: Jun 6, 2026

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Fans of these authors will like this...

  • Yuval Noah Harari
  • Nate Silver
  • Thomas L. Friedman

Fans of these books will like this...

  • Megatrends
  • The Fourth Turning
  • The Sum of Small Things

Perfect for you if...

  • You're fascinated by patterns in history and want to understand why American politics and culture feel fractured right now.
  • You read Friedman's previous bestsellers and trust his forecasting methodology on geopolitical shifts.
  • You think in systems and cycles rather than just current events, and you want a framework for what comes next.

Maybe not for you if...

  • You want day-to-day political predictions or guidance on how to vote in the next election.
  • You're looking for a how-to guide on navigating personal finance or career changes during uncertainty.
  • You prefer narrative-driven history to analytical frameworks and cyclical theory.

About this book

George Friedman examines the future of the United States, predicting that the 2020s will bring significant upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture. Friedman analyzes American history through two major cycles: an eighty-year institutional cycle (exemplified by the Revolutionary War/founding, the Civil War, and World War II) and a fifty-year socio-economic cycle (marked by the formation of industrial classes, baby boomers, and the middle classes). Both cycles are converging in the late 2020s, a period when many foundational aspects of American society will change. During this time, the United States will face upheaval and possible conflict, but ultimately emerge with increased strength, stability, and power. Friedman's analysis addresses the size and scope of the federal government, the future of marriage and the social contract, shifts in corporate structures, and new cultural trends resulting from longer life expectancies.

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Kindle price over time. Green zones = periods when the book was free.

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Free$7.50$14.99Mar '20Sep '22Jun '24Dec '25
$1.99$14.99

Currently on sale at $1.99 — 87% off peak. Price has dropped 24 times over the last 6 years. Goes on sale roughly every 82 days. Typically stays discounted for 10 days.

Sales Rank

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#4,596#154,774#304,951Apr '18Feb '22Nov '23Apr '26

Currently around #26K in the Kindle store — a steady mid-list seller. Sales have softened 59% recently.

Rating & Reviews

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3.5★4.3★5.0★May '23Sep '23May '24May '26RatingReviews

Currently 4.5★ from 1,869 reviews

Gaining approximately 12 new reviews per month. Rating has remained stable at 4.5 over the tracking period.

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Free$7.50$14.99Mar '20Sep '22Jun '24Dec '25PredictedJun '26

Actual Predicted

This book is currently discounted at $1.99. It typically returns to around $14.99.

Prices shown in USD from Amazon US. We continuously pull new data to improve tracking. If dates look old, it usually means there has been no significant change since the last data point.

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